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Economics

So far the debate on banker bonuses seems to have focused on two areas: the unfairness and inequality that the bonuses represent, and the value (or not) that they add to the businesses they run. The first represents the view of society as a whole, questioning whether anyone is worth a million-pound bonus on top of their million-pound salary. The second represents (or is supposed to represent) the view of the shareholders, who are putting it in perspective with the billion-pound profits of the banks they own.

However I think there is another equally valid perspective, namely that of the customers. Let’s see how well they’ve done there:

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A stranger is staying at a hotel in a small town high up in the mountains for a few days. Shortly after his guest has eaten breakfast and left for the day, the hotel owner notices that he has left his wallet on the table. Business is bad, and the baker has refused to sell the hotelier any more bread until he pays the £100 that he owes. The hotelier can see that there are five £20 notes in his guest’s wallet, and after wrestling with his conscience for a short while, steals the money and takes it down the baker, who restores the hotelier’s line of credit.

The baker is particularly grateful to the hotelier as he happens to owe the butcher £100, so he takes the banknotes across to the butcher’s shop and settles his bill. The butcher in turn owes the local garage £100 for repairs to his car, so he uses the money to pay off his bill. The garage owner realises that he can now pay the hotelier the £100 he owes for the meal bought last weekend, so he pops into the hotel and gives the money to the hotelier. Moments later, the guest returns. The hotelier, seeing him come through the door, quickly puts the £100 back in the wallet and hands it back to the guest.

At first sight, there is something odd about this tale. Everyone in the town appears to be £100 better off and yet, at the end of the day, the stranger still gets his £100 back. How can this work? Where did the money come from?

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The final part in our occasional series on the shortcomings of the free market. This is an extract from a work in progress:

The price mechanism, like justice, is blind. It operates regardless of the nature of the produce or of the consumer or supplier. It works just as efficiently when it comes to drugs, prostitution and slavery as it does with groceries and leisure wear. The price that a paedophile pays to rape a child is just that needed to match the supply of enslaved children with the demand for such activities, regardless of our moral scruples. The price that an addict pays for a gram of heroin on the streets of London or Los Angeles is that needed to match the supply available from local dealers with the demand from local addicts, in just the same way as it is in the fish or fruit market, and the damage caused as a result to families and society is an externality in just the same way as the cost of cleaning our pavements is an externality to the chewing gum industry. Read More

We continue our occasional series on the shortcomings of the free market. This is an extract from a work in progress:

SpeculationOne of the basic assumptions behind the free market model is that buyers are interested in consuming or using the goods itself and are valuing it in terms of the satisfaction that it will bring them, or the use to which the goods can be put. However that is not necessarily the case. The buyer may be a speculator who is only interested in buying the goods because he knows he can sell it on to someone else for a higher price and make a profit on the difference.

Speculators have no intention of actually consuming or using the goods, and indeed may have borrowed money to make the purchase with the intention of using the proceeds of the sale to pay back the loan. Such a plan is highly risky as it depends on finding a buyer who believes, or can be persuaded, that the goods is worth more than the speculator paid for it. The nature of the goods is not particularly relevant, although it does need to be something that can easily be traded without undue delay or cost otherwise the speculator could end up having to pay for and take possession of the goods itself, which is the last thing he wants.

This is where futures contracts come in. Agricultural commodities such as wheat, coffee and rice are vital ingredients for a wide range of products. However their supply is seasonal and unpredictable. An unexpected frost can decimate a crop, causing severe shortages which result in a hefty price rise. This can be good news for those farmers whose crops survive as they can sell at a higher price, but it is bad news for the importer who has to either absorb the unexpected increase or pass it on. Read More

The third in an occasional series examining the shortcomings of the free market. This is an extract from a work in progress:

Market stallOne basic assumption that underlies the libertarian model is that everyone involved in the market knows what everyone else is doing. Take, for example, a vegetable market. The customer approaches his selected greengrocer because he has already compared its prices with those of every other greengrocer in town. The model also assumes that every item on sale is equally fresh and equally desirable – in other words that the customer has all the information he needs if he is to truly compare like with like. Such a market, of course, exists only in our imagination. In practice, greengrocers sell all kinds of vegetables at all kinds of prices and our choice is governed by instinct as much as anything else. However we do assume that the vegetables on display are fresh and as described. These days, strict laws governing the sale of foodstuff mean we are safe to do so. Unfortunately that hasn’t always been the case.

The first major survey of the adulteration of food in England was published by the chemist Frederick Accum in 1820. It was entitled ‘A Treatise on Adulterations of Food, and Culinary Poisons: exhibiting the fraudulent sophistications of bread, beer, wine, spiritous liquors, tea, coffee, cream, confectionery, vinegar, mustard, pepper, cheese, olive oil, pickles, and other articles employed in domestic economy.’ In it Accum described how bakers were adding gypsum, chalk and pipe clay to their produce, while wine was being clarified with not only gypsum but also molten lead. ‘Green tea’ was being made by adding copper carbonate to conventional mixes while lemonade was being flavoured with sulphuric acid in place of more expensive lemons. Sulphuric acid was also used to age beer that was as often as not already watered down. Cayenne pepper was being augmented with red lead, while pickles and sweets were boiled with a copper coin to turn them green. Reviewing the work, Blackwood’s Edinburgh Magazine observed: Read More

What follows is the second in an occasional series examining the shortcomings of the free market. It is an extract from a work in progress:

The Tragedy of the Commons is a particular example of what are more generally called ‘externalities’ or ‘neighbourhood effects’. These appear whenever the costs or benefits taken into account by the participants in a transaction differ from the costs or benefits that are experienced by society as a whole as a result of the transaction.

In an effort to minimise risk and maximise profit, a business will do all it can to minimise its costs, which means it will only take into account those costs that it cannot avoid paying. Trawler captains will continue to trawl as long as the money they make from selling their catch is greater than the costs they incur obtaining it. These include the salaries of their crew, the cost of mooring and running their boats and other costs such as insurance and repairs which cannot be avoided if they are to continue trawling. They do not include the wider cost to future generations incurred by depleting the fish stock below sustainable levels.

Externalities crop up all over the place. For example, walk the streets of any city these days and you cannot fail to notice the spots of spent chewing gum stuck to the pavements. What you may not realise is how difficult this gum is to remove, requiring high-pressure washing, steam cleaning or even manual scraping. In a survey conducted by London’s Westminster Council, some 300,000 pieces of gum were stuck to the pavements of Oxford Street in a period of just 10 days, while in 1990 the government estimated that local councils spent over £150 million a year removing spent chewing gum from British streets (Sample, 2007). None of these costs are born by chewing gum manufacturers so they have little incentive to come up with a solution, such as a gum that is easier to remove. Instead the cost is shared between all who pay taxes, whether we chew gum or not. Read More

What follows is the first in an occasional series examining the shortcomings of the free market. It is an extract from a work in progress:

Libertarians would have us believe that the free market is the only way to ensure that limited resources are exploited and distributed in an efficient manner, and that any attempt at control is doomed to failure because we are not capable of handling the huge number of variables involved in balancing supply and demand. Would that were true, but unfortunately free markets have inherent flaws which must be dealt with if we are to make use of resources in a way that is sustainable, equitable or even desirable.

‘The Tragedy of the Commons’ is the title of an article written by the ecologist Garrett Hardin in 1968. It references a lecture delivered by the economist Reverend William F. Lloyd at Oxford University over 130 years previously, although Greek writers were discussing the problem over 2,000 years ago. Reverend Lloyd asked, “Why are the cattle on a common so puny and stunted? Why is the common itself so bare-worn, and cropped so differently from the adjoining inclosures?” (Lloyd, 1833, p30) He went on to answer the question, understanding that each herdsman will seek to maximise his gain, regardless of the condition of the common. Read More

Although often discredited, Games Theory can still shed light on human behaviour. What follows is an extract from a work-in-progress:

Game TheoryGames Theory is the study of situations where two or more players interact in accordance with a set of rules, and in particular where such situations arise in our political and economic life. Surprisingly it is fairly recent, generally considered to date from 1928 when John von Neumann’s book Zur Theorie der Gesellschaftsspiele (‘On the Theory of Parlour Games’) was first published. This was followed in 1944 by Theory of Games and Economic Behavior which Neumann co-authored with Oskar Morgenstern.

There are essentially two types of games. Zero-sum games are those where one player wins and the other loses. Typical examples include tic-tac-toe (also known as noughts and crosses), chess, poker and football. Rather more interesting are non zero-sum games where outcomes include the possibility of both players improving their situation. Perhaps the most important non zero-sum game in the economic world is the act of shopping. Sellers only sell their goods when they regard the money being offered as having greater value than the goods itself. Buyers only buy when they regard the goods as being worth more than the money asked. If both sides can agree a price then both walk away from the deal as winners. Read More